Chat GPT 5.2 Comming Dec 11th
Polymarket Signals ~84 % Odds for Next OpenAI “Frontier Model” — What That Could Mean for ChatGPT / GPT-5.2
In a striking reflection of public sentiment — or collective speculation — on future AI developments, the decentralized prediction-market platform Polymarket is currently pricing the chance that OpenAI will release a new “frontier model” by December 13 at about 84%.
What the Market Is Betting On
The specific contract on Polymarket asks: “Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?” A “frontier model” here refers to a major, general-purpose flagship model — akin to how earlier versions like GPT-5 and GPT-5.1 were defined, rather than task-specific or minor updates.
If this model becomes publicly accessible (not just a closed beta or internal test) — via open release, waitlist, or public announcement — the “Yes” side would pay out. Polymarket’s odds suggest many in the crowd believe this will happen.
Given ongoing media speculation and recent internal pressure at OpenAI, many interpret this market as betting on the release of a model version often referred to in press as GPT-5.2.
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